90-Day Drought Forecast for Lubbock, West Texas

Published 04/06 2014 01:16PM

Updated 04/07 2014 12:32AM

Drought Outlook: April, May & June 2014 from climate.gov. Brown represents 'continue or worsen.'
Drought Outlook: April, May & June 2014 from climate.gov. Brown represents 'continue or worsen.'
LUBBOCK, TX -- Chances are Lubbock and West Texas will not escape drought any time soon according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

NOAA’s drought outlook for April, May and June put Lubbock in a category called “continue or worsen.” NOAA’s temperature outlook for April, May and June showed Lubbock has an above average change of higher-than-normal temperatures.

Late last week the United State Drought Monitor showed Lubbock to be in extreme drought while neighboring counties Floyd, Swisher and Briscoe were in exceptional drought. There has been a marked increase in exceptional, extreme, and severe drought in Texas since October 1.

“We’re in the driest three and-a-half years since the start of records in 1911,” said Gary Skwira, meteorologist with the Lubbock office of National Weather Service.

Skwira said the current drought started in October 2010. In that time he said Lubbock has officially recorded 32.91 inches of rain when it should have been closer to 64 inches.

“The soils have that big of a deficit. It’s going to take a lot of rain to wipe out what the drought has done,” said Skwira.

“We have an El Nino watch,” said Skwira – which means there is a chance for warmer than usual water in the Pacific Ocean. El Nino has been associated with more rain in Lubbock. However, “Not every El Nino has been wetter than average,” Skwira said.

For 2014 Lubbock has 0.33 inches of rain as measured officially at the Lubbock Preston Smith International Airport. Normal for this time of year would be 2.66 inches.

As of Saturday White River Lake, and Lake Meredith were officially listed as 0% full by the Texas Water Development Board. Mackenzie Lake was listed at 5% full, and Lake Alan Henry was 62.7%.

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