LUBBOCK, Texas (KLBK) – Here is your updated forecast from the KLBK First Warning Weather Center:
Saturday Evening & Saturday Night:
It’s been a relatively quiet Saturday across the South Plains and the Rolling Plains as we’re seeing a brief break in the activity weather.
A few thunderstorms developed to our west over in parts of central and eastern New Mexico late this afternoon and this evening. A couple of the high-resolution forecast models are trying to bring some of this activity to near the Texas/New Mexico state line late this evening. However, the activity should be weakening at this point. There is still some indication that a stray shower or thunderstorm is possible overnight and early Sunday morning. We’ll be mostly cloudy late this evening and overnight across the South and Rolling Plains. Lows tonight will range from the upper 50s to the lower 60s, with a southeast wind 10-20 mph.
The Storm Prediction Center did have the northwestern South Plains in a “slight” (2 out of 5) and “marginal” (1 out of 5) risk for severe weather through early Sunday morning. However, the threats were dropped this evening across these areas.
Sunday will remain mostly cloudy with high temperatures with high temperatures in the lower to middle 70s. The wind will remain southeasterly 10-20 mph. A few thunderstorms will be possible in the mid-to-late afternoon. Thunderstorm activity will become more widespread Sunday evening and into Sunday night. Some thunderstorms will be strong to severe.
The Storm Prediction Center has all of the South Plains and the Rolling Plains outlined in a “slight” (2 out of 5) risk for severe weather on Sunday. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threats. However, locally heavy rainfall is also a threat which will create some flash flooding in locations. The tornado threat overall is low but not zero.
An active weather pattern will continue across the South Plains and the Rolling Plains on from Sunday through Wednesday. Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances will continue through Wednesday, with the best chance for precipitation from Sunday night through early Tuesday morning. Thunderstorm chances decrease and become more isolated by the later part of the week and early next weekend.
Daytime highs on Sunday will range from the lower to the middle 70s. Upper 60s to lower 70s are expected on Monday. Tuesday’s high temperatures will range from the lower to the middle 70s. We’ll warm back into the middle 70s by Wednesday and the upper 70s to lower 80s on Thursday. Highs will climb back into the lower to middle 80s by Friday and next Saturday.
Overnight lows will range from the middle 50s to the lower 60s over the extended forecast period.
Recent rainfall is helping make a dent in drought conditions across the South Plains and the Rolling Plains. As of the latest update of the U.S. Drought Monitor, exceptional, extreme and severe drought conditions were still being reported across western South Plains. However, there has been some improvement in this area. Severe to moderate drought conditions were reported across the central and eastern South Plains, including the Lubbock metro area. Off the Caprock, moderate drought and abnormally dry conditions were being reported across the Rolling Plains.
Lubbock Climate Data for Sunday, May 30:
Sunrise: 6:38 AM CDT
Sunset: 8:52 PM CDT
Normal High: 89°
Normal Low: 62°
Record High: 106° (2018)
Record Low: 45° (1943)
Your KLBK First Warning Forecast:
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of a thunderstorm overnight. Lows ranging from the upper 50s to the lower 60s. Southeast wind 10-20 mph. The chance for precipitation is 10 percent.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a few thunderstorms in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may be strong to severe in the afternoon. Highs in the lower to middle 70s. Southeast wind 10-20 mph. The chance for precipitation is 50 percent.
Sunday Night: Numerous showers and thunderstorms likely. Some thunderstorms may be strong to severe. Locally heavy rainfall is possible, along with some flooding. Otherwise cloudy with lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Southeast wind 10-20 mph, then shifting to the northeast after midnight. The chance for precipitation is 70 percent.
Memorial Day (Monday): Numerous showers and thunderstorms likely. Some thunderstorms may be strong to severe. Locally heavy rainfall is possible, along with some flooding. Otherwise cloudy with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. East wind 10-15 mph. The chance for precipitation is 70 percent.