LUBBOCK, Texas (KLBK) – Here is your updated forecast from the KLBK First Warning Weather Center:
*** Winter Weather Advisory from 12:00 AM CDT Monday to 7:00 PM CDT Monday for Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd, Hale, Hall, Hockley, King, Lamb, Lubbock, Motley, Parmer and Swisher County. ***
*** Winter Storm Watch from 7:00 PM CDT Monday to 7:00 AM CDT Wednesday Bailey, Briscoe, Borden, Castro, Cochran, Cottle, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens, Floyd, Gaines, Garza, Hale, Hall, Hockley, Kent, King, Lamb, Lubbock, Lynn, Motley, Parmer, Scurry, Swisher, Terry, and Yoakum County. ***
Sunday’s cold front surged through the South and Rolling Plains a lot sooner than expected, so my forecast high temperatures were pretty much blown. I had forecast a high of 75° for Lubbock, but we only managed 61° before the cold front hit. Highs today were only in the 40s/50s across the northern counties, 60s mainly across the central counties and 70s/80s ahead across the southern counties.
Cold air will continue to filter into the area this evening and tonight on north-northeast wind. Cloudy conditions will continue with light drizzle and rain developing late this evening, before transitioning to light freezing drizzle and freezing rain overnight. A light glaze of ice possible on elevated surfaces. Lows tonight will range from the middle 20s to the lower 30s, with a north-northeast wind 15-20 mph.
Monday will be cloudy, breezy and cold with highs ranging from the upper 20s to the middle 30s. Light rain and freezing rain will remain possible, which could result in a light glaze of ice on elevated surfaces. It will feel even colder thanks to a north-northeast wind 15-25 mph.
Wintry precipitation and colder weather is expected for the first half of the week across the South Plains and the Rolling Plains. Forecast models continue to favor the best chance for wintry precipitation from Monday night through Wednesday evening. The precipitation will fall in the form of rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow.
Travel across the region will be hazardous from early Monday morning through Wednesday afternoon.
Forecast models over the next few days continue to favor snowfall accumulation on the Caprock, along with some ice accumulation. Areas off the Caprock could see more ice accumulation and less snow accumulation.
Update: New RPM model snowfall and ice accumulation “guesstimates” through 6 PM CDT Wednesday. Since my earlier tweet, it’s backed off on snow and increased the ice threat. I’m still favoring this solution over the GFS & ECMWF for now. Stay tuned! #txwx #Lubbock #winterwx #KLBK pic.twitter.com/M6Bs7Cb9VE— Chris Whited (@severewxchaser) October 26, 2020
Snowfall and ice accumulation “guesstimates” from the RPM forecast model Sunday evening. This is from now through 6 PM CDT Wednesday. I’m favoring this solution over the GFS & ECMWF, which keep flip flopping. #txwx #Lubbock #winterwx #KLBK pic.twitter.com/g2WILzi98G— Chris Whited (@severewxchaser) October 26, 2020
As usual, models are not in agreement on snowfall and ice accumulation at this time, so it’s difficult to narrow down just exactly how much of each is possible.
Dry weather returns by the later part of the week and next weekend, along with milder to warmer weather.
Highs on Monday on Monday and Tuesday will range from the upper 20s to the middle 30s, with most locations near or just below freezing. It will still be chilly on Wednesday but milder with highs ranging from the middle 30s to the middle 40s. Lower to middle 50s return by Thursday, with middle to upper 50s expected on Friday. We’ll climb back into the 60s next weekend.
Overnight lows will range from the middle 20s to the lower 30s Monday morning. It’ll be even colder Tuesday morning, with lows ranging from the upper 10s to the middle 20s. Middle to upper 20s are expected Wednesday morning. Morning lows on Thursday and Friday morning will range from the upper 20s to the lower 30s. Lower to middle 30s expected for morning lows next weekend.
Time Change Next Sunday:
Don’t forget Daylight Saving Time ends next weekend. We’ll “fall back” one hour on Sunday, November 1 at 2:00 AM CT.
Exceptional, extreme, severe and moderate drought conditions continue across all of the South Plains. Extreme, severe and moderate drought conditions are in place across the Rolling Plains.
Lubbock Climate Data for Monday, October 26:
Sunrise: 8:02 a.m.
Sunset: 7:00 p.m.
Normal High: 72°
Normal Low: 44°
Record High: 91° (2014)
Record Low: 26° (2019)
Your KLBK First Warning Forecast:
Tonight: Cloudy, breezy and colder. Light rain and freezing rain possible with a light glaze of ice possible. Lows ranging from the middle 20s to the lower 30s. North-northeast wind 15-20 mph.
Monday: Cloudy, breezy and cold with light rain and freezing rain. A light glaze of ice possible on elevated surfaces. Highs ranging from the upper 20s to the middle 30s. North-northeast wind 15-25 mph.
Monday Night: Freezing rain, sleet and snow likely with ice accumulation up to 0.25″ inch possible. Cold with lows ranging from the upper 10s to the middle 20s. North-northeast wind 15-20 mph.
Tuesday: Periods of snow, sleet and freezing rain with ice accumulation up to 0.25″ inch possible. Highs in the upper 20s to the middle 30s. Northeast wind 15-20 mph.